Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.058504 0.066371 0.074460 0.083368 0.092873 0.102682 0.113544
2025-06-22 0.045184 0.056776 0.069366 0.083907 0.100098 0.117445 0.137312
2025-06-29 0.039076 0.053221 0.069235 0.088371 0.110302 0.134374 0.162525
2025-07-06 0.032530 0.047986 0.066197 0.088644 0.115027 0.144583 0.179745
2025-07-13 0.030906 0.048254 0.069269 0.095709 0.127296 0.163135 0.206226
2025-07-20 0.025152 0.042626 0.064632 0.093100 0.127841 0.167910 0.216726
2025-07-27 0.023158 0.041625 0.065521 0.097018 0.135991 0.181412 0.237212
2025-08-03 0.020249 0.039028 0.064103 0.097850 0.140245 0.190211 0.252136
2025-08-10 0.017647 0.036554 0.062608 0.098390 0.143989 0.198294 0.266139
2025-08-17 0.014907 0.033542 0.060139 0.097469 0.145758 0.203885 0.277102
2025-08-24 0.011621 0.029227 0.055528 0.093449 0.143398 0.204287 0.281716
2025-08-31 0.009212 0.025963 0.052128 0.090813 0.142608 0.206458 0.288333
2025-09-07 0.007925 0.024619 0.051668 0.092456 0.147755 0.216503 0.305204
2025-09-14 0.006519 0.022843 0.050464 0.093060 0.151618 0.225093 0.320532
2025-09-21 0.006111 0.022966 0.052188 0.097805 0.160980 0.240634 0.344458
2025-09-28 0.004949 0.021272 0.050873 0.098095 0.164343 0.248572 0.359020
2025-10-05 0.005122 0.022575 0.054486 0.105586 0.177438 0.268925 0.389012
2025-10-12 0.003705 0.019846 0.051204 0.102822 0.176565 0.271416 0.396809
2025-10-19 0.003429 0.019878 0.052585 0.106972 0.185121 0.285999 0.419700
2025-10-26 0.002784 0.018740 0.051834 0.107854 0.189151 0.294746 0.435299
2025-11-02 0.002203 0.017574 0.050927 0.108425 0.192709 0.302859 0.450102
2025-11-09 0.001582 0.015980 0.049084 0.107450 0.194037 0.308028 0.461167
2025-11-16 0.000877 0.013500 0.045282 0.103191 0.190586 0.306824 0.464071